Somalia: Acute Food Insecurity in July 2014 and Projection for August - December 2014
01.07.2014 > 31.12.2014



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Between May-July 2014, the FSNAU in collaboration with counterpart government line ministries, institutions and several partner agencies carried out the 2014 post Gu food security and nutrition assessments across Somalia.

The purpose of the assessment was to gather information required for food security and nutrition situation analysis of rural and urban populations as well as internally displaced persons (IDP). The livelihoods-based analysis provided “a snap-shot in time” of the food security situation for July 2014 as well as projections for the August to December 2014 period. The food security analysis followed a standardized Integrated Phase Classification (IPC) approach and protocol.

The findings from the assessment indicate a worsening of the food security situation across Somalia with an estimated 1 025 000 people in Crisis and Emergency (IPC Phases 3 and 4). This figure represents a 20 percent increase since January 2014. The worsening of the food security situation was a result of poor Gu rains, conflict, trade disruptions and reduced humanitarian assistance. IDPs continue to constitute a majority (62%) of the total number of people in Crisis and Emergency (IPC Phases 3 and 4), followed by rural (27%) and urban (11%) populations. The situation is likely to continue deteriorating further until the start of the Deyr rains in October.

Recent nutrition survey results conducted across the country also indicate that an estimated 218 000 children under the age of five are acutely malnourished (nearly one in seven children under five) – a seven percent increase since January 2014. This figure includes 43 800 severely malnourished children who face an even higher risk of morbidity and death. Critical levels of acute malnutrition (Global Acute Malnutrition rates exceeding 15%) were found in 21 out of 50 population groups surveyed. Morbidity, poor infant and young child feeding practices and inadequate humanitarian assistance are among the main contributing factors of acute malnutrition in Somalia.

As a result of delayed and erratic rainfall, the Gu 2014 cereal harvest in July/August is estimated to be 37 percent below the long-term average and 28 percent below the fiveyear average. The poor rains have also contributed to water shortages, poor livestock performance and reduced access to milk in several pastoral areas, particularly in parts of the Northeast and the Gedo region of Southern Somalia. Trade disruption and reduced access to seasonal agricultural employment have also exacerbated the food insecurity situation in urban areas that came under government control following the military offensive against insurgents in March 2014. In these areas, access roads remain under insurgent control and trade flow is largely blocked, resulting in sharp increases in staple food prices. Cereal prices have quadrupled in Wajid (Bakool) and doubled in Hudur town (Bakool), Middle Shabelle and Hiraan (Buloburte district) regions between January and July/August 2014. 

The populations in Emergency and Crisis (IPC Phases 4 and 3) require urgent lifesaving humanitarian assistance and livelihood support between now and December 2014 to help meet immediate food needs, including urgent nutrition and health support for the acutely malnourished, particularly children. Additional interventions will be required to protect livelihoods and build the resilience of communities against future shocks.

The food security situation of over 2.1 million additional people remains fragile and is classified as Stressed (IPC Phase 2). This group of households may struggle to meet their minimal food requirements through the end of the year, and they remain highly vulnerable to shocks that could push them back to food security crisis if no appropriate support is provided.

Areas and Populations of Concern

Populations experiencing acute food security crisis (IPC Phases 3 and 4) are found in large numbers in rural and urban areas and among displaced populations of Bari, Nugaal, South Mudug, Galgaduud, Hiraan, Middle Shabelle, Lower Shabelle, Bakool, Gedo, Middle Juba and Banadir regions.

Population groups with Global Acute Malnutrition rates exceeding 15 percent are of major concern and are found in urban parts of Bari Region and rural parts of Hiraan, Bay, Bakool, Lower Shabelle, Gedo, East and West Golis of Wooqooy Galbeed, Sanaag and Bari regions, and among displaced populations in Mogadishu, Kismayo, Dhobley, Dollow, and Dhusamareb.

There is also a severe water shortage for livestock mainly in the Northeast but also in parts of Northwest, Central, Lower Juba and North Gedo regions of Somalia.

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