Between July 2025 and June 2026, 2.11 million children aged 6–59 months are expected to suffer acute malnutrition and be in urgent need of nutrition services and treatment. Additionally, around 1.15 million pregnant and breastfeeding women in South Sudan areexpected to be malnourished and in need of treatment in the same period.
An estimated 70 percent of acute malnutrition cases are concentrated in the five states of Jonglei, Northern Bahr el Ghazal, Upper Nile, Unity and Warrap. During the first projection, or harvest and post-harvest period of October 2025 to March 2026, the acute malnutrition situation is expected to deteriorate in 46 counties, with 20 likely to be classified in a higher phase. Of concern are five counties (Duk in Jonglei State; Rubkona in Unity State; and Baliet/Akoka, Ulang and Nasir in Upper Nile State) and one administrative area (Abyei Administrative Area) which are projected to slip into IPC AMN Phase 5 (Extremely Critical) during the lean season period of April to June 2026 due to factors such as conflict-instigated reduced access to nutrition and health services amid a worsening cholera outbreak and increasing food gaps.
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