The Livelihood Zones that make up the municipalities of Region 13, (departments of Valle, Choluteca, municipalities south of El Paraíso, south of Francisco Morazán, south of La Paz), have been classified in Phase 1 (Minimal) and Phase 2 (Stressed) for the period running from May 27th 2014 until 15 August 2014.

For the "Agroindustria" zone, artisanal fishermen are affected due to the water level, with the municipalities of Amapala, San Lorenzo and Namasigue being the most affected. In the municipality of Amapala, homes dedicated exclusively to artisanal fishing may face a more complicated situation than the rest given the growing pressure on fish resources in the gulf and the tension over the jurisdiction of territorial waters. While the workers of okra and cane melon are not employed due to the seasonality of the crops. This is affecting their income level.

The inhabitants of the livelihoods zone "Ganadería" have low levels of food reserves that probably can last until the month of June. The group of "Unassisted Poor Households" in the area of ​​"Basic Grains of Subsistence and Remittances" seem to be the most affected group because they do not have income opportunities other than those generated by humanitarian assistance, they have no stocks- Contribution factors related to food security remain at normal levels: absence of adverse climatic events in the last, basic grain prices below the historical average and normal day labor opportunities.

In the area of ​​"Granos Básicos y Remesas", the most vulnerable population has exhausted grain reserves, increased food prices and reduced employment opportunities due to the delay of the rains have limited access to food, resulting in a very adequate intake.

Key results for the Projection period of August - November 2014

The minimum availability of grain reserves and the lack of social support from the different programs oblige households to pawn their labor and future crops (which will be paid at below market prices); Which generates slight actives that will allow him to access foods for a short period. The availability of food in these households will not be adequate. The producers are handling the harvest of the first cycle, with probable losses due to the phenomenon of the child that affects the Region. Poor households have limited income-generating opportunities, especially in the Basic Grain Zone where they have little or no food reserves and difficulties for the first harvest due to lack of rainfall.

The main factors driving food insecurity are:

• low water levels affecting fishing
• unemployment of agricultural workers due to seasonality of crops and delayed rainfall
• low levels of food reserves

Recommendations on the following steps of the analysis

• It is necessary to define with more precision the limits of the livelihood areas of the last study carried out by FEWSNET.
• The monitoring report carried out by FAO in the areas of influence of the PESA only covers one municipality in the Agroindustry zone. Therefore, the extrapolation of information from this municipality to the entire Agroindustry area is questionable.
• To adjust, as far as possible, the processes of collecting the information of the institutions participating in the table to the dates of the next analysis. And guide them towards obtaining the following information: prices in local markets, number of weekly wages per household, price of the newspaper, type and frequency of survival strategies used by households.
• Some information exists but has not been made available (eg precipitation, health and malnutrition acute and chronic).
• Study formulas that allow the use of the strategic planning process for the purposes of the CIF analysis (Example: FOCAL II).
• Request private companies (shrimp, cane, melon, coffee, etc.) information on the number of people employed, period, origin of workers, comparative with historical data.
• Predict, in advance, the presentation of analysis results at the central level.
• Include in the "ISS", an area to attach the complete documents, which are included in Step 2, as evidence for analysis.