Approximately 4.2 million people (20 percent of the analysed population) are expected to experience high levels of acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 or above) between May and September 2024, including 56,000 people in IPC Phase 4 (Emergency) and 4.1 million people in IPC Phase 3 (Crisis). Most of the population in Phase 3 or above are not able to produce enough of their own food and are dependent on market purchases for their food needs.

The situation is expected to deteriorate during the projection period (October 2024 – March 2025) which coincides with the lean season. Nearly 5.7 million people (28 percent of the analysed population) are estimated to be in Phase 3 or above with 416,000 people expected to be in Phase 4. 

• Ensure immediate humanitarian response for the populations in IPC Phase 3 or above. 
• Promote winter cropping in areas with residual moisture and adequate water sources and facilitate the distribution of inputs during the winter season to enhance agricultural productivity and food security. Supporting farmers with appropriate inputs, such as seeds and fertilizers, during this period can enable them to cultivate additional crops and improve their overall agricultural production.
• Ensure timely supply and distribution of inputs through the Affordable Inputs Program to improve crop productivity and enhance food security. This program can contribute to increased agricultural production and better food availability.
• Ensure ADMARC stocks adequate maize to stabilize maize prices. Sufficient grain reserves will ensure the availability of affordable food during periods of scarcity, thereby regulating prices and ensuring food security for the population.
• Promote food diversification to enhance dietary diversity and improve nutritional outcomes. Disseminating key messages on the importance of diverse and balanced diets is essential for behavior change and positive nutrition practices.
• Address feeding practices and post-harvest management to reduce food loss and waste.