Mozambique: Acute Food Insecurity Situation for October 2025–March 2026 and Projection for April–September 2026
RELEASE DATE
09.01.2026
VALIDITY PERIOD
01.10.2025 > 08.01.2026

Key
results


Recommendations
& next steps


Acute
Malnutrition


Between October 2025 and March 2026 in 47 predominantly productive districts of Mozambique, an estimated 1.2 million people are experiencing high levels of acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 or above) and require urgent humanitarian assistance to reduce food consumption gaps and protect livelihoods. Of these, approximately 126,000 people are classified in Emergency (IPC Phase 4), while approximaltey 1.1 million people are in Crisis (IPC Phase 3). 

This situation is driven by irregular rainfall and prolonged dry spells, the cumulative impacts of successive cyclones, persistent insecurity and displacement in the north of the country, and elevated food prices, which continue to constrain food access for the poorest households.

Food security conditions are expected to improve during the projected period (April–September 2026), with the number of people requiring urgent intervention expected to decline to approximately 529,000. This improvement is attributed to average to above-average rainfall forecasts, which are expected to enhance household food availability and contribute to lower food prices in local markets.

According to the combined results of the IPC post-shock Acute Food Insecurity (AFI) and Acute Malnutrition analysis (April 2025–March 2026) and the IPC post-harvest AFI analysis (October 2025–September 2026) approximately 3.5 million people are experiencing high levels of acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 or above) in Mozambique betweeen October 2025 and March 2026. 

 

The combined results are presented in the snapshots (English and Portuguese versions).


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