One in two people in Government of Yemen (GoY)-controlled areas of Yemen continue experiencing high levels of acute food insecurity, with a deteriorating macroeconomic crisis, alongside conflict and instability, leaving millions unable to meet basic food needs.  

Nearly 5 million people are experiencing IPC Phase 3 or above (Crisis or worse) acute food insecurity between March and May 2026, with 1.4 million people experiencing IPC Phase 4 (Emergency). This is a marginal seasonal improvement in food availability and access compared to the previous period (September 2025–February 2026); however, these gains remain temporary and insufficient to offset severe food gaps.  

Food security is expected to worsen sharply during the June–September 2026 lean season (first projection period), with 5.4 million people projected to be in Phase 3 or above, including 1.6 million people in Phase 4. Despite the harvest season, urgent needs are expected to persist from October–December 2026, with  5.4 million people in IPC Phase 3 or above and deepening severity. 

Provide urgent and sustained funding for HFSA: Prevent the projected pipeline break through immediate advocacy and funding mobilisation for populations in Phase 3 or above. This is the most critical action to avert widespread deterioration into higher phases. Integrate food assistance with nutrition, water, sanitation and hygiene (WASH), and livelihood and multi‑purpose cash to maximise impact.

Provide urgent and sustained funding for HFSA: Prevent the projected pipeline break through immediate advocacy and funding mobilisation for populations in Phase 3 or above. This is the most critical action to avert widespread deterioration into higher phases. Integrate food assistance with nutrition, water, sanitation and hygiene (WASH), and livelihood and multi‑purpose cash to maximise impact.

Enhance climate preparedness and early warning systems: Implement anticipatory actions for forecasted flash floods by pre‑positioning supplies, reinforcing IDP shelters and providing agricultural support to protect remaining crops and livestock.

Promote lasting peace: Sustain efforts toward a durable peace, including de‑escalating tensions in frontline districts. Ending the conflict remains essential for any long‑term solution.

Monitor risk factors: Closely track HFSA funding and delivery, local currency exchange rates, conflict escalation along frontlines, the impact of flash floods, pest infestation levels and the effects of the regional conflict on Yemen. A rapid re‑analysis may be needed if these assumptions change significantly before the first quarter of 2027.