The analysis covered a total of 72 districts, corresponding to 45% of the total number of districts in the country. The results show that for the current period, May to September 2023 - around 2.6 million people are in acute food insecurity, requiring urgent intervention to reduce food insecurity and protect livelihoods. Of these, 126,000 people are in IPC Phase 4 (Emergency) and the remaining 2.5 million are in Crisis (IPC Phase 3). For the period from October 2023 to March 2024, the number of people requiring urgent intervention is expected to rise to around 3.3 million, of which 220,000 people are in IPC Phase 4 (Emergency). This could happen as a result of the depletion of food reserves and the impact of El Niño, especially in the south and center of the country.

Priority response objectives:

- Increase the resilience of Internally Displaced Persons (IDPs) with an emphasis on agricultural production while maintaining humanitarian food assistance. 

Humanitarian assistance:

- Increase levels of access to safe water in the projected period due to low rainfall;

- Continue livelihood provision programs to reduce dependency on humanitarian food aid;

- Provide agricultural and fisheries inputs on the market;

- Intensify technical assistance to combat pests/diseases in agricultural crops and domestic animals;

Risk factors to monitor:

- Prices of food and non-food products;

- Access to safe water in communities;

- Monitor fuel price trends and, together with the Health Cluster, assess the potential risk of affecting the supply of health and nutrition services in the community. 

- Prices of agricultural and fishing inputs on the market, as well as their availability;

- Pests and diseases of agricultural crops and domestic animals;

- Performance of the rainy season, which affects agricultural production.