
Urgent action is needed in Somalia, which continues to face a volatile food and nutrition crisis and a risk of Famine. Nearly 5.1 million people are facing high levels of acute food insecurity from July to September 2026—a 50 percent increase compared with the same period in 2025. Drought, erratic rainfall, insecurity, high food prices and expected El Niño impacts continue to drive food insecurity as humanitarian funding declines. From October–December 2026, conditions are projected to worsen, with more than 5.4 people likely to face high levels of acute food insecurity. This includes nearly 26,000 internally displaced persons (IDPs) in Baidoa who are likely to face Catastrophe (IPC Phase 5), which is characterised by high disease prevalence and widespread deaths. Under a plausible worst‑case scenario of more severe flooding and displacement, IDPs in Baidoa face a risk of Famine during the projection period.
Acute malnutrition (AMN) is also worsening from July 2026–June 2027, with 1.92 million children—a 4 percent increase from 2025—and 157,000 pregnant and breastfeeding women affected. Nineteen areas are in IPC AMN Phase 4 (Critical). Further deterioration is expected during the projection period, with IDPs in Beletweyne projected to face IPC AMN Phase 5 (Extremely Critical) and severity likely to increase in seven areas facing IPC AMN Phase 4.
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