Poor rainfall, flooding and persistent conflict are driving 3.4 million people into high levels of acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 or above) across much of Somalia. Between July and September 2025, around 624,000 people (3 percent of the population) have been experiencing Emergency (IPC Phase 4) levels of acute food insecurity, while more than 2.8 million people (15 percent of the population) have been experiencing Crisis (IPC Phase 3) conditions.

In the projection period (October to December 2025), the food security situation is expected to worsen as rainfall during the Deyr season is likely to be below normal-average levels. This along with high food prices, continued conflict, and localised flooding are expected to drive 4.4 million people (23 percent of the population) into high levels of acute food insecurity (Phase 3 or above) during the projection period.

Regarding the nutrition situation, an estimated 1.85 million children aged 6–59 months are expected to suffer acute malnutrition (GAM) through June 2026. This includes approximately 421,000 children likely to suffer severe acute malnutrition (SAM) and require urgent treatment. Compared to the same season last year, the current estimates represent a 12 percent increase in children facing GAM and a 5 percent increase in children suffering SAM.

Download the report

Download the Snapshot