Approximately 2.2 million people—or one in three people—are facing high levels of acute food insecurity between April and August 2025, including 481,000 people facing critical levels of acute food insecurity, IPC Phase 4 (Emergency), and 1.74 million people experiencing crisis levels of acute food insecurity, classified in IPC Phase 3 (Crisis). The situation is driven by conflict and insecurity, poor agricultural production and economic shocks. Armed violence and civil unrest continue to displace populations—over 443,000 people are currently displaced—and limit access to farmland, especially in the southeast, northeast, and northwest.

In the projection period between September 2025 and March 2026, the food security situation is expected to improve, with 1.83 million people (28 percent of the analysed population) projected to be in IPC Phase 3 or above (down from 34 percent in the current period). This includes 287,000 people classified in IPC Phase 4 and 1.54 million people in IPC Phase 3.

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