The projected acute food insecurity situation in Greater Equatoria showed mixed trend. Four counties in Western Equatoria that include Ezo, Nzara,Mvolo and Mundri East are expected to slip Stress level of food insecurity (IPC phase 2) due late rains which inundated farms and expected to reduce crop yields of the second cropping season and market supply. Mongalla, Terkeka and Lainya Counties of Central Equatoria witnessed dry spell affecting first harvest and pointing toward low yields for second crop. As the result, these areas together with Kapeota east are likely to be at Stress level of food insecurity (IPC phase 2) in second phase of scenario (January to February 2013).
Greater Bahr el Ghazal
In Greater Bahr el Ghazal, Aweil North and Aweil East and Aweil South of Northern Bahr el Ghazal;, Awerial, Yirol East, Rumbek North and Cuiebet of Lakes; Twic in Warrap and Timsah payam of Western Bahr el Ghazal states are likely be at Crises levels of food insecurity (IPC phase 3) could the insecurity at the borders escalate. Insecurity along the border with Sudan, cattle raiding (inter/intra-‐communal conflict) and high number of IDPs and returnees received were the driving factors for food insecurity. While 2/3 of this region is at stress levels food insecurity, some pockets are expected to be at none or minimal levels food insecurity (see current map and summary)
Greater Upper Nile
Resumption of cross border trade and oil production is expected to increase market supply and labor opportunity. As the result, Rubkona, Guit, Koch, Mayendit and Leer Counties of Unity are expected to be at none or minimal food insecurity (IPC phase 1). The rest of the counties of are expected to be at Stress levels of food insecurity (IPC phase 2) due to insecurity and poor road networks and above average flooding observed during cropping season. Pariang County could have been in a worse phase without continuous humanitarian assistance. The productive counties of Upper Nile mainly Renk, Manyo, Fashoda, and Malakal are at none or minimal levels food insecurity (IPC phase1). The rest of the counties in the state are expected to be at Stress levels of food insecurity (IPC phase 2). In Jonglei, Pochalla and Boma are expected to remain in minimal level of food insecurity (IPC phase 1); however, Leukongole, Gumuruk and Vertieth are likely to be at emergency phase (IPC phase 4) due to ongoing insecurity coupled prevalent of Kalazar outbreak and cattle rustling. The rest of the counties in Jonglei are expected to be at Crises levels (IPC phase 3) due to poor roads leading to market failure and potential increase of cattle rustling during dry season.