Sudan: Acute Food Insecurity Situation August - October 2014 and Projection for November - December 2014
VALIDITY PERIOD
01.11.2014 > 31.12.2014
 
 
 
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Key
results


Population
estimates


Recommendations
& next steps


Acute
Malnutrition


The unit of classification for IPC Acute Food Insecurity analysis is the area. In Sudan the analysis was conducted at the locality level (some localities in Darfur, Blue Nile and South Kordofan were not analyzed due to lack of access, while West Kordofan state was not analyzed due to the fact that the TWG was not established).

From the total classified localities (155), in the August - October 2014 period, 27 had been classified at Phase 1, 70 localities were classified at Phase 2, 46 were classified at Phase 3, 12 localities were classified at Phase 4. In the projected period from November to December 2014, the food security situation has begun improving and is expected to continue.

1. Rainfall during the June-October agricultural season was mostly average to above average and well distributed. Green harvest started in September and prospects of average-to-above average November-to-January harvest expected in most parts of Sudan influencing downward pressure on prices in many places (expected to be about 15 – 25% decline in prices in different areas). The national inflation has decreased by 15% between August and September. Decline in staple food prices will enhance access to food.This will lead to reduction in number of people who will face difficulties in accessing food.

2. Good harvest will enhance availability of food in many parts of the country, including non productive areas by improving food availability in the markets by moving grain to theareas with good access. Due to good rainy season and improved crop planting and performance, the start of green harvest in October has a positive effect on the seasonal availability of crops, livestock and fish production.

3. The nutrition status is expected to improve significantly in some areas due to good harvest induced access and availability of diversified dietary intake as well as interventions from the government [Ministry of Health and others] plus partners. 

4. The pasture conditions are improving which is expected to improve animal conditions and production.

5. No signs of epidemic diseases during the period.

 

6. The efforts in conflict resolutions in the affected areas leads to improvement in security situations, hence the stable security condition is expected to stabilize the livelihood conditions.

 

 

 


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